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Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 logo Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Regular Season - 32 Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium· Medina Saturday, May 2, 2026 17:50
Al Ula logo Al Ula PPG 2.13
2-1 HIT CS2
Al Raed logo Al Raed PPG 1.33
Draw· -4.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.8%
Odds: 1.68 EV: -11.3%
Draw 25.4%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -4.8%
Away 21.7%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -8.9%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.60 -5.1%
Over 3.5 36.9% Odds: 2.50 -7.8%
BTTS 60.2% Odds: 1.55 -6.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Ula
1.90
Al Raed
1.17

Model Suggestion

BTTS -6.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.13) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

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