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Quevilly Rouen vs Rouen Prediction— France - National 1

Regular Season - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 17:30

Quevilly Rouen

PPG 0.93 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Rouen

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-112.6%0-28.4%0-33.8%0-4+1.7%1 1-09.6%1-112.9%1-28.7%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-04.9%2-16.6%2-24.4%2-32.0%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.7%3-12.3%3-21.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.6% 22.7% 4.40 +17.0%

Draw 31.3% 31.3% 3.20 +0.2%

Away win 42.1% 55.6% 1.80 -24.2%

Over 2.5 42.3% 46.5% 2.15 -9.1%

Over 3.5 21.5% 25.6% 3.90 -16.2%

BTTS 49.4% 51.8% 1.93 -4.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 39%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -23.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob49.4%

A 42% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0✓ 9.3%

#3 0–1 12.6%

#4 1–2 8.7%

#5 0–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Quevilly Rouen1.0

Rouen1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.3% · O3.5 PROB 21.5%

Form & verdict PPG

QUEVILLY ROUEN · PPG 0.93

ROUEN · PPG 1.57

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.57) vs Home POOR (0.93)

Win probability 1X2

Quevilly Rouen (H) 26.6%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +17.0%

Draw 31.3%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +0.2%

Rouen (A) 42.1%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -24.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Quevilly Rouen face Rouen in France - National 1 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Quevilly Rouen a 27% chance, the draw 31% and Rouen 42%, so Rouen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Quevilly Rouen and 1.3 for Rouen (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Quevilly Rouen are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.57 for Rouen. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.0%. This match finished 0-0.

Quevilly Rouen vs Rouen Prediction— France - National 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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