Bourg-en-Bresse vs Villefranche Prediction— France - National 1

France - National 1 Regular Season - 32 Stade Marcel-Verchere· Bourg-en-Bresse Saturday, May 2, 2026 17:30

Bourg-en-Bresse PPG 0.93

1-0 HIT CS4

Villefranche PPG 0.71

Away· +41.5% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bourg-en-Bresse face Villefranche in France - National 1 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bourg-en-Bresse a 34% chance, the draw 33% and Villefranche 34%, so Villefranche are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Bourg-en-Bresse and 1.1 for Villefranche (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bourg-en-Bresse are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 0.71 for Villefranche. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +41.5%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.5%

Odds: 1.77 EV: -40.7%

Draw 32.8%

Odds: 3.35 EV: +9.9%

Away 33.7%

Odds: 4.20 EV: +41.5%

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 39.0% Odds: 2.05 -20.1%

Over 3.5 19.0% Odds: 3.65 -30.6%

BTTS 47.5% Odds: 1.85 -12.1%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✔

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Bourg-en-Bresse

1.12

Villefranche

1.13

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5/Under 39%

BTTS/No 44%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 17.5%

Bet Hit 58% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away POOR (0.71)