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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 11 BMO Field· Toronto Saturday, May 2, 2026 17:00
Toronto logo Toronto PPG 1.43
1-1 HIT CS2
SJ Earthquakes logo SJ Earthquakes PPG 3.00
Away· +25.4% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 16.5%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -44.7%
Draw 21.4%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -21.9%
Away 62.1%
Odds: 2.02 EV: +25.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 67.4% Odds: 1.62 +9.2%
Over 3.5 45.7% Odds: 2.55 +16.5%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.53 -3.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-2
4th 1-3
5th 0-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Toronto
1.16
SJ Earthquakes
2.32

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +9.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Away(+25.4%)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.43)

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