Samgurali vs Gagra Prediction & Tips

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Georgia - Erovnuli Liga Regular Season - 10 26 May Stadium· Tsqaltubo Saturday, May 2, 2026 17:00

Samgurali PPG 1.00

2-0 MISS

Gagra PPG 2.00

Draw· +0.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.0%

Odds: 2.62 EV: -26.6%

Draw 31.3%

Odds: 3.20 EV: +0.2%

Away 40.6%

Odds: 2.38 EV: -3.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.7% Odds: 1.80 -23.1%

Over 3.5 21.9% Odds: — —

BTTS 50.0% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Samgurali

1.06

Gagra

1.32

Model SuggestionBTTS  NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is — at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+0.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)