Al Orubah vs Al Wahda Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Regular Season - 32 Al-Jouf University Stadium· Sakakah Saturday, May 2, 2026 16:35

Al Orubah PPG 1.40

2-0 HIT CS3

Al Wahda PPG 0.87

Home· +2.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Orubah face Al Wahda in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Orubah a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Al Wahda 24%, so Al Orubah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Al Orubah and 1.2 for Al Wahda (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Orubah are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.87 for Al Wahda. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +2.7%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.9%

Odds: 2.10 EV: +2.7%

Draw 26.6%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -9.6%

Away 24.4%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -24.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.2% Odds: 1.62 -7.3%

Over 3.5 34.8% Odds: 2.55 -11.3%

BTTS 59.8% Odds: 1.50 -10.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✔

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Orubah

1.77

Al Wahda

1.21

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-10.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.87)