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Ireland - Premier Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 12 Oriel Park· Dundalk Friday, April 17, 2026 18:45
Dundalk logo Dundalk PPG 2.20
2-1 HIT CS2
Galway Utd logo Galway Utd PPG 0.80
Over3.5· +29.7% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.8%
Odds: 1.96 EV: -2.4%
Draw 22.6%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -22.0%
Away 27.6%
Odds: 3.70 EV: +2.1%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.2% Odds: 1.90 +18.2%
Over 3.5 39.9% Odds: 3.25 +29.7%
BTTS 62.4% Odds: 1.73 +8.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Dundalk
1.87
Galway Utd
1.34

Model Suggestion

BTTS +8.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+29.7%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=49.8%

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