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Real Aviles PPG 1.18 
Guadalajara PPG 0.82
Real Aviles vs Guadalajara Prediction— Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles PPG 1.182-2 MISS
Guadalajara PPG 0.82 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Real Aviles face Guadalajara in Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Aviles a 43% chance, the draw 29% and Guadalajara 28%, so Real Aviles are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Real Aviles and 1.2 for Guadalajara (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Aviles are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 0.82 for Guadalajara. This match finished 2-2.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
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Goals Markets
Over 2.5 51.7% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 29.6% Odds: — —
BTTS 56.9% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Aviles 1.53
Guadalajara 1.22
Model Suggestion
BTTS MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 60 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -35.1%
Bet Hit 35% (17 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.18) > Away POOR (0.82)