Al Faisaly vs Al Jabalain Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Regular Season - 32 Saturday, May 2, 2026 16:10

Al Faisaly PPG 1.73

2-0 HIT CS4

Al Jabalain PPG 1.53

Away· +0.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Faisaly face Al Jabalain in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Faisaly a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Al Jabalain 28%, so Al Faisaly are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Al Faisaly and 1.3 for Al Jabalain (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Faisaly are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.53 for Al Jabalain. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +0.8%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.2%

Odds: 1.83 EV: -19.1%

Draw 27.4%

Odds: 3.65 EV: +0.0%

Away 28.4%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +0.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.8% Odds: 1.70 -3.4%

Over 3.5 34.4% Odds: 2.75 -5.4%

BTTS 60.6% Odds: 1.60 -3.0%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-0 ✔

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Faisaly

1.66

Al Jabalain

1.30

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+0.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.73), Away GOOD (1.53)