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Italy - Serie A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 35 Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia· Como Saturday, May 2, 2026 16:00
Como logo Como PPG 1.88
0-0 HIT CS2
Napoli logo Napoli PPG 1.71
Home· -3.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.7%
Odds: 2.22 EV: -3.0%
Draw 30.3%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -3.0%
Away 26.0%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -15.5%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.4% Odds: 2.10 -4.7%
Over 3.5 24.0% Odds: 3.85 -7.6%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.83 -5.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Como
1.43
Napoli
1.06

Model Suggestion

BTTS -5.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 53%
ROI -26.7%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.88), Away GOOD (1.71)

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