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Al Adalha vs Al Anwar Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Regular Season - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 15:50

Al Adalha

PPG 0.80 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Al Anwar

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 65.3% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-17.0%0-26.3%0-33.8%0-4+2.5%1 1-05.7%1-110.2%1-29.1%1-35.4%1-4+3.7%2 2-04.1%2-17.4%2-26.6%2-33.9%2-4+2.7%3 3-02.0%3-13.5%3-23.2%3-31.9%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.8%4+-21.6%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.7% 41.7% 2.40 -28.7%

Draw 26.0% 29.4% 3.40 -11.6%

Away win 44.3% 39.2% 2.55 +13.0%

Over 2.5 62.9% 60.6% 1.65 +3.8%

Over 3.5 40.7% 38.2% 2.62 +6.6%

BTTS 65.3% 66.7% 1.50 -2.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob65.3%

A 44% / xG 1.4-1.8 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1✓ 7.4%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Adalha1.4

Al Anwar1.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.9% · O3.5 PROB 40.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AL ADALHA · PPG 0.80

AL ANWAR · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.80), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Al Adalha (H) 29.7%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -28.7%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -11.6%

Al Anwar (A) 44.3%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +13.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Adalha face Al Anwar in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Adalha a 30% chance, the draw 26% and Al Anwar 44%, so Al Anwar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Al Adalha and 1.8 for Al Anwar (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Adalha are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.00 for Al Anwar. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.0%. This match finished 2-1.

Al Adalha vs Al Anwar Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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