Al Adalha vs Al Anwar Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Regular Season - 32 Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium· Al Ahsa Saturday, May 2, 2026 15:50

Al Adalha PPG 0.80

2-1 HIT CS3

Al Anwar PPG 1.00

Away· +13.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Adalha face Al Anwar in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Adalha a 30% chance, the draw 26% and Al Anwar 44%, so Al Anwar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Al Adalha and 1.8 for Al Anwar (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Adalha are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.00 for Al Anwar. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.0%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.7%

Odds: 2.40 EV: -28.7%

Draw 26.0%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -11.6%

Away 44.3%

Odds: 2.55 EV: +13.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.9% Odds: 1.65 +3.8%

Over 3.5 40.7% Odds: 2.62 +6.6%

BTTS 65.3% Odds: 1.50 -2.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✔

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Adalha

1.45

Al Anwar

1.79

Model SuggestionBTTS -2.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-2.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 67%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 2.7%

Bet Hit 58% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.80), Away AVERAGE (1.00)