Al Fateh vs Neom SC Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 31 Al Fateh club stadium· Al-Hofuf Saturday, May 2, 2026 15:50

Al Fateh PPG 1.40

2-2 MISS

Neom SC PPG 1.47

Draw· +2.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Fateh face Neom SC in Saudi-Arabia - Pro League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Fateh a 35% chance, the draw 29% and Neom SC 36%, so Neom SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Al Fateh and 1.4 for Neom SC (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Fateh are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.47 for Neom SC. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.6%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.9%

Odds: 2.85 EV: -0.5%

Draw 28.9%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +2.6%

Away 36.3%

Odds: 2.30 EV: -16.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.0% Odds: 1.65 -12.6%

Over 3.5 30.8% Odds: 2.65 -18.4%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.53 -10.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Fateh

1.39

Neom SC

1.42

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+2.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.47)