Vevey Sports vs Luzern B Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion Regular Season - 30 Stade de Copet· Vevey Saturday, May 2, 2026 15:30

Vevey Sports PPG 0.43

2-3 HIT CS5

Luzern B PPG 0.64

Home· +13.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Vevey Sports face Luzern B in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vevey Sports a 20% chance, the draw 18% and Luzern B 62%, so Luzern B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Vevey Sports and 2.9 for Luzern B (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 77% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vevey Sports are averaging 0.43 points per game versus 0.64 for Luzern B. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +13.3%. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 19.7%

Odds: 5.75 EV: +13.3%

Draw 18.3%

Odds: 5.25 EV: -3.9%

Away 62.0%

Odds: 1.36 EV: -15.7%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 83.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 66.4% Odds: 1.53 +1.6%

BTTS 77.2% Odds: 1.33 +2.7%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘

2nd 1-3 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 2-3 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Vevey Sports

1.66

Luzern B

2.87

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 10.3%

Bet Hit 75% (20 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.43), Away POOR (0.64)