Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 57.0% Odds: 1.62 -7.7%
Over 3.5 34.6% Odds: 2.55 -11.8%
BTTS 55.8% Odds: 1.80 +0.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Home -19.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-19.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.60) vs P(Home)=58.6%