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Slovenia - 1. SNL logo Slovenia flag Slovenia - 1. SNL Regular Season - 33 Stadion Stožice· Ljubljana Saturday, May 2, 2026 15:30
NK Olimpija logo NK Olimpija PPG 1.60
3-0 MISS
Primorje logo Primorje PPG 0.13
Away· +27.5% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.6%
Odds: 1.38 EV: -19.1%
Draw 24.4%
Odds: 4.33 EV: +5.7%
Away 17.0%
Odds: 7.50 EV: +27.5%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.0% Odds: 1.62 -7.7%
Over 3.5 34.6% Odds: 2.55 -11.8%
BTTS 55.8% Odds: 1.80 +0.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

NK Olimpija
1.97
Primorje
1.00

Model Suggestion

Home -19.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-19.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.60) vs P(Home)=58.6%

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