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Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 15:00

Dinamo Batumi

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

Dinamo Tbilisi

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.5%0-114.4%0-29.0%0-33.7%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.5%1-113.1%1-28.2%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-04.8%2-16.0%2-23.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.5%3-11.8%3-21.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.1% 27.8% 3.60 -9.6%

Draw 32.8% 29.4% 3.40 +11.5%

Away win 42.1% 54.6% 1.83 -23.0%

Over 2.5 36.8% 50.0% 2.00 -26.4%

Over 3.5 17.4% — — —

BTTS 44.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 6.7%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob44.7%

A 42% / xG 0.9-1.3 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 11.5%

#3 0–1 14.4%

#4 0–2 9.0%

#5 1–0 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Batumi0.9

Dinamo Tbilisi1.3

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.8% · O3.5 PROB 17.4%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO BATUMI · PPG 1.00

DINAMO TBILISI · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Batumi (H) 25.1%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -9.6%

Draw 32.8%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +11.5%

Dinamo Tbilisi (A) 42.1%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -23.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Batumi face Dinamo Tbilisi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Batumi a 25% chance, the draw 33% and Dinamo Tbilisi 42%, so Dinamo Tbilisi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Dinamo Batumi and 1.3 for Dinamo Tbilisi (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Batumi are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Dinamo Tbilisi. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +11.5%. This match finished 2-2.

Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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