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France - National 1 Saturday, May 2, 2026 15:00 
Sochaux PPG 2.21 
Valenciennes PPG 1.00
France - National 1 Saturday, May 2, 2026 15:00 Sochaux PPG 2.211-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Valenciennes PPG 1.00Draw· +11.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 44.1% Odds: 1.75 -22.8%
Over 3.5 23.0% Odds: 2.90 -33.3%
BTTS 46.6% Odds: 1.80 -16.1%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✔
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sochaux 1.62
Valenciennes 0.82
Model Suggestion
Home -18.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -18.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+11.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+11.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.21) vs P(Home)=54.6%