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Croatia - First NL Saturday, May 2, 2026 15:00 
Jarun PPG 1.69 
Hrvace PPG 0.64
Croatia - First NL Saturday, May 2, 2026 15:00 Jarun PPG 1.691-2 MISS
Hrvace PPG 0.64Home· +9.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 43.2% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 22.3% Odds: — —
BTTS 49.8% Odds: 1.85 -7.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Jarun 1.40
Hrvace 1.01
Model Suggestion
No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 66%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.69) vs P(Home)=43.9%