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Bijelo Brdo vs Opatija Prediction— Croatia - First NL

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 15:00

Bijelo Brdo

PPG 1.92 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Opatija

PPG 0.79 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.2%0-110.7%0-23.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.0%1-112.6%1-24.4%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.6%2-17.4%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.2%3-12.9%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.1%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.4% 45.5% 2.20 -0.1%

Draw 34.5% 35.7% 2.80 -3.4%

Away win 20.1% 31.3% 3.20 -35.7%

Over 2.5 29.1% — — —

Over 3.5 12.2% — — —

BTTS 36.8% 48.8% 2.05 -24.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -10.0%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob36.8%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 29% / NoBTTS 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 15.2%

#2 1–0 18.0%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 2–0 10.6%

#5 0–1 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bijelo Brdo1.2

Opatija0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 29.1% · O3.5 PROB 12.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BIJELO BRDO · PPG 1.92

OPATIJA · PPG 0.79

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.92) vs P(Home)=45.4%

Win probability 1X2

Bijelo Brdo (H) 45.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -0.1%

Draw 34.5%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -3.4%

Opatija (A) 20.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -35.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bijelo Brdo face Opatija in Croatia - First NL on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bijelo Brdo a 45% chance, the draw 35% and Opatija 20%, so Bijelo Brdo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bijelo Brdo and 0.7 for Opatija (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bijelo Brdo are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 0.79 for Opatija. This match finished 0-0.

Bijelo Brdo vs Opatija Prediction— Croatia - First NL

Match Preview & Prediction

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