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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa logo Azerbaijan flag Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Regular Season - 30 SOCAR Polymer Arena· Sumqayit Saturday, May 2, 2026 14:30
Araz logo Araz PPG 1.64
0-1 HIT CS5
Imisli logo Imisli PPG 1.40
Over2.5· -6.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.5%
Odds: 2.25 EV: -11.1%
Draw 30.7%
Odds: 2.95 EV: -9.4%
Away 29.8%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -7.6%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.6% Odds: 2.05 -6.5%
Over 3.5 24.2% Odds: 3.65 -11.7%
BTTS 52.5% Odds: 1.75 -8.1%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Araz
1.35
Imisli
1.15

Model Suggestion

BTTS -8.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 69%
ROI 23.6%
Bet Hit 57% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

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