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Gimnastic T. vs Sevilla FC B Prediction— Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Group 2 - 35 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:15

Gimnastic T.

PPG 1.59 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Sevilla FC B

PPG 0.53 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.5%0-111.0%0-24.2%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.0%1-112.9%1-24.9%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.9%2-17.5%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.9%3-12.9%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.1%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.6% — — —

Draw 34.5% — — —

Away win 22.0% — — —

Over 2.5 30.4% — — —

Over 3.5 13.0% — — —

BTTS 38.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 25.4%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob38.6%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 30% / NoBTTS 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.5%

#2 1–0 17.0%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 2–0 9.9%

#5 0–1 11.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gimnastic T.1.2

Sevilla FC B0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 30.4% · O3.5 PROB 13.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GIMNASTIC T. · PPG 1.59

SEVILLA FC B · PPG 0.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.59) vs P(Home)=43.6%

Win probability 1X2

Gimnastic T. (H) 43.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sevilla FC B (A) 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gimnastic T. face Sevilla FC B in Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gimnastic T. a 44% chance, the draw 35% and Sevilla FC B 22%, so Gimnastic T. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Gimnastic T. and 0.8 for Sevilla FC B (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gimnastic T. are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 0.53 for Sevilla FC B. This match finished 2-1.

Gimnastic T. vs Sevilla FC B Prediction— Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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