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Grand-Saconnex vs Bruhl Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Grand-Saconnex

PPG 1.29 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bruhl

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-13.1%0-23.9%0-33.3%0-4+3.8%1 1-02.3%1-15.8%1-27.3%1-36.2%1-4+7.1%2 2-02.2%2-15.4%2-26.9%2-35.8%2-4+6.7%3 3-01.4%3-13.4%3-24.3%3-33.6%3-4+4.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.5%4+-23.1%4+-32.6%4+-4+3.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.0% 27.8% 3.60 +0.8%

Draw 20.6% 26.3% 3.80 -21.7%

Away win 51.4% 57.1% 1.75 -10.1%

Over 2.5 81.6% — — —

Over 3.5 64.3% — — —

BTTS 78.9% 74.1% 1.35 +6.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob78.9%

A 51% / xG 1.9-2.5 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 79%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.3%

#2 2–2 6.9%

#3 1–1 5.8%

#4 1–3 6.2%

#5 2–3 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grand-Saconnex1.9

Bruhl2.5

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.6% · O3.5 PROB 64.3%

Form & verdict PPG

GRAND-SACONNEX · PPG 1.29

BRUHL · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.86) vs Home AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Grand-Saconnex (H) 28.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +0.8%

Draw 20.6%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -21.7%

Bruhl (A) 51.4%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -10.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Grand-Saconnex face Bruhl in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grand-Saconnex a 28% chance, the draw 21% and Bruhl 51%, so Bruhl are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Grand-Saconnex and 2.5 for Bruhl (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 79% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grand-Saconnex are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.86 for Bruhl. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +6.5%. This match finished 3-1.

Grand-Saconnex vs Bruhl Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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