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Breitenrain vs FC Zurich B Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Breitenrain

PPG 1.43 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

FC Zurich B

PPG 1.79 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 64.6% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-16.6%0-25.1%0-32.6%0-4+1.4%1 1-06.9%1-110.6%1-28.2%1-34.2%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.5%2-18.5%2-26.6%2-33.4%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.0%3-14.6%3-23.5%3-31.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.6%4+-22.0%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.9% 56.5% 1.77 -32.9%

Draw 26.8% 26.7% 3.75 +0.5%

Away win 35.3% 27.0% 3.70 +30.6%

Over 2.5 61.1% 64.5% 1.55 -5.3%

Over 3.5 38.8% 42.0% 2.38 -7.7%

BTTS 64.6% 66.7% 1.50 -3.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob64.6%

H 38% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.2%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–0 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Breitenrain1.6

FC Zurich B1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.1% · O3.5 PROB 38.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BREITENRAIN · PPG 1.43

FC ZURICH B · PPG 1.79

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.43) vs Away GOOD (1.79)

Win probability 1X2

Breitenrain (H) 37.9%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -32.9%

Draw 26.8%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +0.5%

FC Zurich B (A) 35.3%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +30.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Breitenrain face FC Zurich B in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Breitenrain a 38% chance, the draw 27% and FC Zurich B 35%, so Breitenrain are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Breitenrain and 1.5 for FC Zurich B (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Breitenrain are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.79 for FC Zurich B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +30.6%. This match finished 3-1.

Breitenrain vs FC Zurich B Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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