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Croatia - HNL logo Croatia flag Croatia - HNL Regular Season - 33 Gradski stadion Velika Gorica· Velika Gorica Saturday, May 2, 2026 14:00
Gorica logo Gorica PPG 1.31
1-2 HIT CS3
Dinamo Zagreb logo Dinamo Zagreb PPG 2.19
Home· +22.5% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 17.5%
Odds: 7.00 EV: +22.5%
Draw 24.9%
Odds: 4.35 EV: +8.3%
Away 57.5%
Odds: 1.40 EV: -19.5%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.9% Odds: 1.62 -9.4%
Over 3.5 33.6% Odds: 2.55 -14.3%
BTTS 55.4% Odds: 1.77 -1.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-2
3rd 1-2
4th 0-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Gorica
1.00
Dinamo Zagreb
1.93

Model Suggestion

Away -19.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -19.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+22.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.19) vs Home AVERAGE (1.31)

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