Croatia - HNLRegular Season - 33Gradski stadion Velika Gorica· Velika GoricaSaturday, May 2, 202614:00
GoricaPPG 1.31
1-2HIT CS3
Dinamo ZagrebPPG 2.19
Home· +22.5%✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home17.5%
Odds: 7.00EV: +22.5%
Draw24.9%
Odds: 4.35EV: +8.3%
Away57.5%
Odds: 1.40EV: -19.5%
Model lean: AwayNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.555.9%Odds: 1.62-9.4%
Over 3.533.6%Odds: 2.55-14.3%
BTTS55.4%Odds: 1.77-1.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1✘
2nd0-2✘
3rd1-2✔
4th0-1✘
5th0-0✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Gorica
1.00
Dinamo Zagreb
1.93
Model Suggestion
Away-19.5%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -19.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Home (+22.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.19) vs Home AVERAGE (1.31)