Falkirk PPG 1.35
Motherwell PPG 1.29Falkirk face Motherwell in Scotland - Premiership on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Falkirk a 30% chance, the draw 29% and Motherwell 41%, so Motherwell are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Falkirk and 1.5 for Motherwell (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Falkirk are averaging 1.35 points per game versus 1.29 for Motherwell. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +4.2%. This match finished 1-0.
Based on 30 resolved predictions
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.35), Away AVERAGE (1.29)