Sassuolo W vs Genoa W Prediction & Tips

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Italy - Serie A Women Regular Season - 20 Stadio Enzo Ricci· Sassuolo Saturday, May 2, 2026 13:00

Sassuolo W PPG 0.78

0-0 HIT CS2

Genoa W PPG 0.22

Away· +17.3% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.2%

Odds: 1.70 EV: -28.3%

Draw 30.8%

Odds: 3.30 EV: +1.6%

Away 27.1%

Odds: 4.33 EV: +17.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.1% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 23.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 50.9% Odds: 1.75 -10.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✔

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sassuolo W

1.38

Genoa W

1.06

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+17.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.78) > Away POOR (0.22)