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Inter Milan U20 vs Bologna U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 36 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:00

Inter Milan U20 logo
Inter Milan U20
PPG 2.12 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Bologna U20 logo
Bologna U20
PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.12) > Away GOOD (1.71)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-17.8%0-25.4%0-32.5%0-4+1.2%1 1-08.4%1-111.6%1-28.1%1-33.7%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.3%2-18.7%2-26.0%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.1%3-14.3%3-23.0%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.2%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 38.1%
Draw 28.4%
Away win 33.5%
Over 2.5 54.8%
Over 3.5 32.4%
BTTS 59.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 54%
BTTS 56%
Score Hit 49%
ROI -28.0%
Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-2
xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.8%

D 28% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%
#2 2–1 8.7%
#3 1–2 8.1%
#4 0–0 5.7%
#5 1–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Milan U201.5
Bologna U201.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.4%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER MILAN U20 · PPG 2.12

BOLOGNA U20 · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.12) > Away GOOD (1.71)

Win probability 1X2

Inter Milan U20 (H) 38.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 28.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Bologna U20 (A) 33.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Milan U20 face Bologna U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Milan U20 a 38% chance, the draw 28% and Bologna U20 34%, so Inter Milan U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Inter Milan U20 and 1.4 for Bologna U20 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Milan U20 are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 1.71 for Bologna U20. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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