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Vorskla Poltava vs Livyi Bereh Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:45

Vorskla Poltava

PPG 1.42 · HOME

UPCOMING

Livyi Bereh

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.7%0-115.4%0-28.7%0-33.2%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.8%1-113.3%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-05.1%2-15.7%2-23.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.5%3-11.7%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.9% — — —

Draw 34.6% — — —

Away win 39.5% — — —

Over 2.5 32.0% — — —

Over 3.5 14.1% — — —

BTTS 41.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob41.1%

A 40% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 32% / NoBTTS 41%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.7%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 15.4%

#4 1–0 11.8%

#5 0–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vorskla Poltava0.9

Livyi Bereh1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.0% · O3.5 PROB 14.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VORSKLA POLTAVA · PPG 1.42

LIVYI BEREH · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.42), Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Vorskla Poltava (H) 25.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Livyi Bereh (A) 39.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vorskla Poltava face Livyi Bereh in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vorskla Poltava a 26% chance, the draw 35% and Livyi Bereh 40%, so Livyi Bereh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Vorskla Poltava and 1.1 for Livyi Bereh (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vorskla Poltava are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.67 for Livyi Bereh.

Vorskla Poltava vs Livyi Bereh Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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