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Indonesia - Liga 1
Regular Season - 31
Gelora Kie Raha Stadium· Ternate
Saturday, May 2, 2026
12:00
Malut United
PPG 1.60
5-2
MISS
Persis Solo
PPG 0.73
Home· -1.3%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
60.2%
Odds: 1.64
EV: -1.3%
Draw
22.7%
Odds: 3.80
EV: -13.7%
Away
17.1%
Odds: 4.50
EV: -23.1%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
63.6%
Odds: 1.55
-1.4%
Over 3.5
41.5%
Odds: 2.35
-2.5%
BTTS
60.7%
Odds: 1.53
-7.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✘
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
3-1
✘
5th
1-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Malut United
2.17
Persis Solo
1.11
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-1.4%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -1.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.60) vs P(Home)=60.2%