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Malut United vs Persis Solo Prediction— Indonesia - Liga 1

Regular Season - 31 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Malut United

PPG 1.60 · HOME

5 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Persis Solo

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.6% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-14.2%0-22.3%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.2%1-19.1%1-25.0%1-31.9%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.9%2-19.8%2-25.5%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.4%3-17.1%3-23.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-16.4%4+-23.5%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.2% 61.0% 1.64 -1.3%

Draw 22.7% 26.3% 3.80 -13.7%

Away win 17.1% 22.2% 4.50 -23.1%

Over 2.5 63.6% 64.5% 1.55 -1.4%

Over 3.5 41.5% 42.6% 2.35 -2.5%

BTTS 60.7% 65.4% 1.53 -7.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -13.1%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob60.7%

H 60% / xG 2.2-1.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.9%

#4 3–1 7.1%

#5 1–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Malut United2.2

Persis Solo1.1

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 41.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MALUT UNITED · PPG 1.60

PERSIS SOLO · PPG 0.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.60) vs P(Home)=60.2%

Win probability 1X2

Malut United (H) 60.2%

ODDS 1.64 · IMPLIED 61.0% EV -1.3%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -13.7%

Persis Solo (A) 17.1%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -23.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Malut United face Persis Solo in Indonesia - Liga 1 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Malut United a 60% chance, the draw 23% and Persis Solo 17%, so Malut United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Malut United and 1.1 for Persis Solo (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Malut United are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.73 for Persis Solo. This match finished 5-2.

Malut United vs Persis Solo Prediction— Indonesia - Liga 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Indonesia - Liga 1 Predictions