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Unterhaching vs Memmingen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayern - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Unterhaching

PPG 2.27 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Memmingen

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.27) vs P(Home)=59.9%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-15.2%0-22.4%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.0%1-110.2%1-24.7%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.7%2-19.9%2-24.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.0%3-16.5%3-23.0%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-14.9%4+-22.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.9% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 15.7% — — —

Over 2.5 54.9% — — —

Over 3.5 32.6% — — —

BTTS 53.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.3%

H 60% / xG 2.0-0.9 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–0 10.7%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 11.0%

#5 0–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Unterhaching2.0

Memmingen0.9

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

UNTERHACHING · PPG 2.27

MEMMINGEN · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.27) vs P(Home)=59.9%

Win probability 1X2

Unterhaching (H) 59.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Memmingen (A) 15.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Unterhaching face Memmingen in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Unterhaching a 60% chance, the draw 24% and Memmingen 16%, so Unterhaching are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Unterhaching and 0.9 for Memmingen (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Unterhaching are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 1.27 for Memmingen. This match finished 1-2.

Unterhaching vs Memmingen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Match Preview & Prediction

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