Today / Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern / Eichstatt vs Aschaffenburg

Eichstatt vs Aschaffenburg Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayern - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Eichstatt

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Aschaffenburg

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-15.7%0-22.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.7%1-110.6%1-24.8%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.9%2-19.9%2-24.5%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.8%3-16.1%3-22.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.8%4+-14.4%4+-22.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.4% — — —

Draw 25.4% — — —

Away win 16.2% — — —

Over 2.5 52.4% — — —

Over 3.5 30.2% — — —

BTTS 52.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.0%

H 58% / xG 1.9-0.9 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.6%

#2 2–0 10.9%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 2–1 9.9%

#5 0–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eichstatt1.9

Aschaffenburg0.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.4% · O3.5 PROB 30.2%

Form & verdict PPG

EICHSTATT · PPG 1.67

ASCHAFFENBURG · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Eichstatt (H) 58.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Aschaffenburg (A) 16.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eichstatt face Aschaffenburg in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eichstatt a 58% chance, the draw 25% and Aschaffenburg 16%, so Eichstatt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Eichstatt and 0.9 for Aschaffenburg (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eichstatt are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.00 for Aschaffenburg. This match finished 1-1.

Eichstatt vs Aschaffenburg Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern Predictions