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Aubstadt vs Hankofen-H. Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayern - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Aubstadt

PPG 1.47 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Hankofen-H.

PPG 0.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.47) vs P(Home)=56.9%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-15.9%0-22.7%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.7%1-110.8%1-25.0%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.7%2-19.8%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.5%3-16.0%3-22.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-14.1%4+-21.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.9% — — —

Draw 26.0% — — —

Away win 17.2% — — —

Over 2.5 51.7% — — —

Over 3.5 29.6% — — —

BTTS 52.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.2%

H 57% / xG 1.8-0.9 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.8%

#2 2–0 10.7%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aubstadt1.8

Hankofen-H.0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.7% · O3.5 PROB 29.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AUBSTADT · PPG 1.47

HANKOFEN-H. · PPG 0.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.47) vs P(Home)=56.9%

Win probability 1X2

Aubstadt (H) 56.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hankofen-H. (A) 17.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Aubstadt face Hankofen-H. in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aubstadt a 57% chance, the draw 26% and Hankofen-H. 17%, so Aubstadt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Aubstadt and 0.9 for Hankofen-H. (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aubstadt are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 0.53 for Hankofen-H.. This match finished 1-1.

Aubstadt vs Hankofen-H. Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Match Preview & Prediction

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