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Ansbach vs Greuther F. B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Bayern - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Ansbach

PPG 1.60 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Greuther F. B

PPG 0.87 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away POOR (0.87)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-15.9%0-24.4%0-32.1%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.0%1-110.3%1-27.6%1-33.7%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-19.0%2-26.6%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.5%3-15.2%3-23.8%3-31.9%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.4%4+-22.5%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.5% — — —

Draw 26.2% — — —

Away win 31.2% — — —

Over 2.5 62.4% — — —

Over 3.5 40.1% — — —

BTTS 65.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -17.4%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob65.2%

H 42% / xG 1.7-1.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ansbach1.7

Greuther F. B1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.4% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ANSBACH · PPG 1.60

GREUTHER F. B · PPG 0.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away POOR (0.87)

Win probability 1X2

Ansbach (H) 42.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Greuther F. B (A) 31.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ansbach face Greuther F. B in Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ansbach a 43% chance, the draw 26% and Greuther F. B 31%, so Ansbach are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Ansbach and 1.5 for Greuther F. B (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ansbach are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.87 for Greuther F. B. This match finished 3-1.

Ansbach vs Greuther F. B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern

Match Preview & Prediction

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