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Bayern Alzenau vs FSV Frankfurt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Südwest - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Bayern Alzenau

PPG 1.07 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

FSV Frankfurt

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.07)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-16.7%0-26.8%0-34.6%0-4+3.7%1 1-04.6%1-19.3%1-29.4%1-36.3%1-4+5.1%2 2-03.2%2-16.4%2-26.5%2-34.4%2-4+3.5%3 3-01.5%3-12.9%3-23.0%3-32.0%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.4%4+-21.4%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.7% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 51.1% — — —

Over 2.5 66.2% — — —

Over 3.5 44.4% — — —

BTTS 66.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob66.4%

A 51% / xG 1.4-2.0 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–2 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 2–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bayern Alzenau1.4

FSV Frankfurt2.0

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.2% · O3.5 PROB 44.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BAYERN ALZENAU · PPG 1.07

FSV FRANKFURT · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Bayern Alzenau (H) 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FSV Frankfurt (A) 51.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bayern Alzenau face FSV Frankfurt in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bayern Alzenau a 25% chance, the draw 24% and FSV Frankfurt 51%, so FSV Frankfurt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Bayern Alzenau and 2.0 for FSV Frankfurt (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bayern Alzenau are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 2.00 for FSV Frankfurt. This match finished 1-3.

Bayern Alzenau vs FSV Frankfurt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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