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Balingen vs Bahlinger Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Südwest - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Balingen

PPG 0.60 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Bahlinger

PPG 0.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.60), Away POOR (0.47)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-16.1%0-24.5%0-32.2%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.1%1-110.5%1-27.7%1-33.8%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-18.9%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.5%3-15.1%3-23.7%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.2%4+-22.3%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.9% — — —

Draw 26.5% — — —

Away win 31.6% — — —

Over 2.5 61.6% — — —

Over 3.5 39.3% — — —

BTTS 64.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob64.6%

H 42% / xG 1.7-1.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2✓ 7.7%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Balingen1.7

Bahlinger1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.6% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BALINGEN · PPG 0.60

BAHLINGER · PPG 0.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.60), Away POOR (0.47)

Win probability 1X2

Balingen (H) 41.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bahlinger (A) 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Balingen face Bahlinger in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Balingen a 42% chance, the draw 27% and Bahlinger 32%, so Balingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Balingen and 1.5 for Bahlinger (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Balingen are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 0.47 for Bahlinger. This match finished 1-2.

Balingen vs Bahlinger Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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