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Wiedenbruck vs SSVg Velbert Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

West - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Wiedenbruck

PPG 1.14 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

SSVg Velbert

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-16.1%0-24.4%0-32.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-07.4%1-110.6%1-27.5%1-33.6%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.4%2-19.1%2-26.5%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.6%3-15.2%3-23.7%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.3%4+-22.3%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.0% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 30.5% — — —

Over 2.5 60.9% — — —

Over 3.5 38.6% — — —

BTTS 64.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -37.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob64.0%

H 43% / xG 1.7-1.4 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wiedenbruck1.7

SSVg Velbert1.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.9% · O3.5 PROB 38.6%

Form & verdict PPG

WIEDENBRUCK · PPG 1.14

SSVG VELBERT · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Wiedenbruck (H) 43.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SSVg Velbert (A) 30.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wiedenbruck face SSVg Velbert in Germany - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wiedenbruck a 43% chance, the draw 27% and SSVg Velbert 31%, so Wiedenbruck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Wiedenbruck and 1.4 for SSVg Velbert (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wiedenbruck are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.27 for SSVg Velbert. This match finished 1-0.

Wiedenbruck vs SSVg Velbert Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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