Today / Germany - Regionalliga - West / Bochum B vs Oberhausen

Bochum B vs Oberhausen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

West - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Bochum B logo
Bochum B
PPG 1.13 · HOME
2 – 5
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Oberhausen logo
Oberhausen
PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.13)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-18.5%0-26.9%0-33.7%0-4+2.1%1 1-07.0%1-111.3%1-29.1%1-34.9%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.7%2-17.5%2-26.1%2-33.3%2-4+1.9%3 3-02.1%3-13.3%3-22.7%3-31.4%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.5%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 29.9%
Draw 27.7%
Away win 42.4%
Over 2.5 56.3%
Over 3.5 33.9%
BTTS 60.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 51%
Score Hit 26%
ROI -37.0%
Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-5
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob60.5%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%
#2 1–2 9.1%
#3 2–1 7.5%
#4 0–0 5.3%
#5 0–2 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bochum B1.3
Oberhausen1.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.3% · O3.5 PROB 33.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BOCHUM B · PPG 1.13

OBERHAUSEN · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Bochum B (H) 29.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Oberhausen (A) 42.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bochum B face Oberhausen in Germany - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bochum B a 30% chance, the draw 28% and Oberhausen 42%, so Oberhausen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bochum B and 1.6 for Oberhausen (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bochum B are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 2.00 for Oberhausen. This match finished 2-5.

PredictVantage

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