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Croatia - First NL Saturday, May 2, 2026 11:45 
Rudes PPG 2.50 
Dubrava Zagreb PPG 0.85
Croatia - First NL Saturday, May 2, 2026 11:45 Rudes PPG 2.501-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Dubrava Zagreb PPG 0.85Away· +14.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 41.2% Odds: 1.91 -21.3%
Over 3.5 20.7% Odds: — —
BTTS 45.1% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✔
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Rudes 1.53
Dubrava Zagreb 0.80
Model Suggestion
Home -22.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -22.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+14.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+14.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 42 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5/Under 45%
BTTS/No 36%
Score Hit 38%
ROI 22.5%
Bet Hit 62% (13 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=52.7%