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Monza U20 vs Milan U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 36 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 11:00

Monza U20

PPG 1.06 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Milan U20

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-111.6%0-26.9%0-32.8%0-4+1.1%1 1-011.0%1-113.2%1-27.9%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.3%2-17.5%2-24.5%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.4%3-12.8%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.5% — — —

Draw 32.1% — — —

Away win 35.4% — — —

Over 2.5 41.2% — — —

Over 3.5 20.7% — — —

BTTS 49.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.3%

D 32% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.2%

#2 0–0 9.7%

#3 0–1 11.6%

#4 1–0 11.0%

#5 1–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Monza U201.1

Milan U201.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.2% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MONZA U20 · PPG 1.06

MILAN U20 · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Monza U20 (H) 32.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Milan U20 (A) 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Monza U20 face Milan U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Monza U20 a 33% chance, the draw 32% and Milan U20 35%, so Milan U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Monza U20 and 1.2 for Milan U20 (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Monza U20 are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.29 for Milan U20. This match finished 1-1.

Monza U20 vs Milan U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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