FC Koln W vs Werder Bremen W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Germany - Frauen Bundesliga Regular Season - 24 Franz-Kremer Stadion· Cologne Saturday, May 2, 2026 11:00

FC Koln W PPG 1.27

3-0 MISS

Werder Bremen W PPG 1.09

Home· +2.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Koln W face Werder Bremen W in Germany - Frauen Bundesliga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Koln W a 37% chance, the draw 29% and Werder Bremen W 33%, so FC Koln W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for FC Koln W and 1.3 for Werder Bremen W (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Koln W are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.09 for Werder Bremen W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +2.9%. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.4%

Odds: 2.75 EV: +2.9%

Draw 29.2%

Odds: 3.45 EV: +0.7%

Away 33.4%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -24.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.5% Odds: 1.65 -15.0%

Over 3.5 29.4% Odds: 2.60 -23.6%

BTTS 57.3% Odds: 1.50 -14.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Koln W

1.41

Werder Bremen W

1.32

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+2.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.27), Away AVERAGE (1.09)