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Qingdao Hainiu vs Shanghai Port Prediction— China - Super League

China - Super League logo China flag China - Super League Regular Season - 9 Qingdao Youth Football Stadium· Qingdao Saturday, May 2, 2026 11:00
Qingdao Hainiu logo Qingdao Hainiu PPG 1.75
3-1 MISS
Shanghai Port logo Shanghai Port PPG 0.33
Home· +7.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Qingdao Hainiu face Shanghai Port in China - Super League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Qingdao Hainiu a 33% chance, the draw 31% and Shanghai Port 36%, so Shanghai Port are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Qingdao Hainiu and 1.3 for Shanghai Port (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Qingdao Hainiu are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.33 for Shanghai Port. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.9%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.7%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +7.9%
Draw 31.3%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +3.3%
Away 36.0%
Odds: 2.08 EV: -25.1%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.0% Odds: 1.65 -27.4%
Over 3.5 22.9% Odds: 2.55 -41.6%
BTTS 51.5% Odds: 1.50 -22.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Qingdao Hainiu
1.18
Shanghai Port
1.25

Model Suggestion

BTTS -22.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -22.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+7.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 23%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 23%
ROI -11.2%
Bet Hit 50% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=32.7%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org