Qingdao Hainiu PPG 1.75
Shanghai Port PPG 0.33Qingdao Hainiu face Shanghai Port in China - Super League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Qingdao Hainiu a 33% chance, the draw 31% and Shanghai Port 36%, so Shanghai Port are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Qingdao Hainiu and 1.3 for Shanghai Port (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Qingdao Hainiu are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.33 for Shanghai Port. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.9%. This match finished 3-1.
Based on 43 resolved predictions
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=32.7%