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Podillya K. vs Bukovyna Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 10:30

Podillya K.

PPG 0.50 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Bukovyna

PPG 2.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.83) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-113.0%0-212.5%0-38.0%0-4+6.0%1 1-05.2%1-110.0%1-29.6%1-36.2%1-4+4.6%2 2-02.0%2-13.9%2-23.7%2-32.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-00.5%3-11.0%3-21.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.8% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 63.0% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.4% — — —

BTTS 47.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob47.3%

A 63% / xG 0.8-1.9 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2✓ 12.5%

#2 1–1 10.0%

#3 0–1 13.0%

#4 1–2 9.6%

#5 0–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Podillya K.0.8

Bukovyna1.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PODILLYA K. · PPG 0.50

BUKOVYNA · PPG 2.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.83) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Podillya K. (H) 12.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bukovyna (A) 63.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Podillya K. face Bukovyna in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Podillya K. a 13% chance, the draw 24% and Bukovyna 63%, so Bukovyna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Podillya K. and 1.9 for Bukovyna (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Podillya K. are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 2.83 for Bukovyna. This match finished 0-2.

Podillya K. vs Bukovyna Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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