South-Korea - K League 1Regular Season - 11Gwangju Football Stadium· GwangjuSaturday, May 2, 202610:00
GwangjuPPG 1.00
0-5MISS
Daejeon CitizenPPG 2.00
Over3.5· +8.4%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home18.6%
Odds: 4.75EV: -11.7%
Draw27.3%
Odds: 3.45EV: -5.8%
Away54.1%
Odds: 1.75EV: -5.3%
Model lean: AwayNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.549.0%Odds: 2.15+5.3%
Over 3.527.1%Odds: 4.00+8.4%
BTTS51.1%Odds: 1.95-0.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1✘
2nd0-1✘
3rd0-2✘
4th1-2✘
5th0-0✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Gwangju
0.93
Daejeon Citizen
1.71
Model Suggestion
Away-5.3%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -5.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+8.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)