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Anyang vs Bucheon FC Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Matchday 11 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 10:00

Anyang

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWD

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Bucheon FC

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.9%0-19.7%0-24.3%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.5%1-112.9%1-25.7%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.6%2-18.5%2-23.8%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.3%3-13.8%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% 51.3% 1.95 -12.3%

Draw 31.9% 30.8% 3.25 +3.7%

Away win 23.1% 24.4% 4.10 -5.3%

Over 2.5 38.2% 43.5% 2.30 -12.1%

Over 3.5 18.4% 23.1% 4.33 -20.3%

BTTS 45.2% 50.0% 2.00 -9.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -64.7%

Bet Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob45.2%

H 45% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 10.9%

#3 1–0 14.5%

#4 2–0 9.6%

#5 2–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Anyang1.3

Bucheon FC0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ANYANG · PPG 1.25

BUCHEON FC · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

45%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Anyang (H) 45.0%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -12.3%

Draw 31.9%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +3.7%

Bucheon FC (A) 23.1%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -5.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Anyang face Bucheon FC in South-Korea - K League 1 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Anyang a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Bucheon FC 23%, so Anyang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Anyang and 0.9 for Bucheon FC (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Anyang are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.40 for Bucheon FC. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +3.7%. This match finished 0-1.

Anyang vs Bucheon FC Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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