Vitesse Arnhem PPG 1.44
MVV Maastricht PPG 0.78Vitesse Arnhem face MVV Maastricht in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vitesse Arnhem a 61% chance, the draw 21% and MVV Maastricht 19%, so Vitesse Arnhem are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Vitesse Arnhem and 1.1 for MVV Maastricht (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vitesse Arnhem are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.78 for MVV Maastricht. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +43.4%. This match finished 0-0.
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.78)