Today / Netherlands - Eerste Divisie / TOP Oss vs FC Den Bosch
TOP Oss vs FC Den Bosch Prediction— Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
Regular Season - 37 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 18:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 19 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
A 50% / xG 1.4-2.0 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 66%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.3% · O3.5 PROB 44.4%
Form & verdict
TOP OSS · PPG 1.00
FC DEN BOSCH · PPG 1.17
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.17)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
TOP Oss face FC Den Bosch in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TOP Oss a 28% chance, the draw 22% and FC Den Bosch 50%, so FC Den Bosch are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for TOP Oss and 2.0 for FC Den Bosch (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TOP Oss are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.17 for FC Den Bosch. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.7%. This match finished 4-2.