TOP Oss vs FC Den Bosch Prediction— Netherlands - Eerste Divisie

Netherlands - Eerste Divisie Regular Season - 37 Frans Heesen Stadion· Oss Friday, April 17, 2026 18:00

TOP Oss PPG 1.00

4-2 MISS

FC Den Bosch PPG 1.17

Away· +10.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

TOP Oss face FC Den Bosch in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TOP Oss a 28% chance, the draw 22% and FC Den Bosch 50%, so FC Den Bosch are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for TOP Oss and 2.0 for FC Den Bosch (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TOP Oss are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.17 for FC Den Bosch. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.7%. This match finished 4-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.9%

Odds: 2.88 EV: -19.7%

Draw 21.8%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -17.2%

Away 50.3%

Odds: 2.20 EV: +10.7%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.3% Odds: 1.50 -0.5%

Over 3.5 44.4% Odds: 2.25 -0.1%

BTTS 65.6% Odds: 1.42 -6.9%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

TOP Oss

1.43

FC Den Bosch

1.98

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -0.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-0.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 58%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 50% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.17)