Jeju Utd vs Jeonbuk Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

South-Korea - K League 1 Regular Season - 11 Jeju World Cup Stadium· Seogwipo Saturday, May 2, 2026 07:30

Jeju Utd PPG 1.00

0-2 HIT CS5

Jeonbuk PPG 1.20

Home· +30.8% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeju Utd face Jeonbuk in South-Korea - K League 1 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeju Utd a 30% chance, the draw 36% and Jeonbuk 34%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.9 for Jeju Utd and 1.0 for Jeonbuk (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeju Utd are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.20 for Jeonbuk. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.8%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.2%

Odds: 4.33 EV: +30.8%

Draw 36.2%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +23.1%

Away 33.6%

Odds: 1.83 EV: -38.5%

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 28.7% Odds: 2.10 -39.7%

Over 3.5 11.9% Odds: 3.85 -54.2%

BTTS 38.7% Odds: 1.90 -26.5%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Jeju Utd

0.90

Jeonbuk

0.96

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.20)