Roda JC vs FC Emmen Prediction— Netherlands - Eerste Divisie

Netherlands - Eerste Divisie Regular Season - 37 Parkstad Limburg Stadion· Kerkrade Friday, April 17, 2026 18:00

Roda JC PPG 1.00

2-2 MISS

FC Emmen PPG 0.83

Away· +33.4% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Roda JC face FC Emmen in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Roda JC a 48% chance, the draw 23% and FC Emmen 29%, so Roda JC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Roda JC and 1.4 for FC Emmen (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Roda JC are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.83 for FC Emmen. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +33.4%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.0%

Odds: 1.60 EV: -23.2%

Draw 23.0%

Odds: 4.33 EV: -0.4%

Away 29.0%

Odds: 4.60 EV: +33.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.2% Odds: 1.40 -14.3%

Over 3.5 38.9% Odds: 2.00 -22.2%

BTTS 62.0% Odds: 1.42 -12.0%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Roda JC

1.80

FC Emmen

1.36

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+33.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.83)