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Cooks Hill Utd vs Adamstown R. Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 06:30

Cooks Hill Utd

PPG 0.67 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Adamstown R.

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 72.3% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-14.5%0-24.1%0-32.5%0-4+1.7%1 1-04.6%1-18.5%1-27.7%1-34.7%1-4+3.2%2 2-04.4%2-17.9%2-27.2%2-34.4%2-4+3.0%3 3-02.7%3-15.0%3-24.5%3-32.8%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-13.6%4+-23.3%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.0% 35.7% 2.80 +9.2%

Draw 24.1% 27.8% 3.60 -13.2%

Away win 36.9% 48.8% 2.05 -24.4%

Over 2.5 71.5% — — —

Over 3.5 50.6% — — —

BTTS 72.3% 73.5% 1.36 -1.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob72.3%

H 39% / xG 1.9-1.8 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 72%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 2–1 7.9%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 3–1✓ 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cooks Hill Utd1.9

Adamstown R.1.8

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.5% · O3.5 PROB 50.6%

Form & verdict PPG

COOKS HILL UTD · PPG 0.67

ADAMSTOWN R. · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs Home POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Cooks Hill Utd (H) 39.0%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +9.2%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -13.2%

Adamstown R. (A) 36.9%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -24.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cooks Hill Utd face Adamstown R. in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cooks Hill Utd a 39% chance, the draw 24% and Adamstown R. 37%, so Cooks Hill Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Cooks Hill Utd and 1.8 for Adamstown R. (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cooks Hill Utd are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.25 for Adamstown R.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +9.2%. This match finished 3-1.

Cooks Hill Utd vs Adamstown R. Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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