Jong Utrecht vs FC Eindhoven Prediction— Netherlands - Eerste Divisie

Netherlands - Eerste Divisie Regular Season - 37 Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch· Utrecht Friday, April 17, 2026 18:00

Jong Utrecht PPG 1.44

3-0 MISS

FC Eindhoven PPG 0.94

Away· -2.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Jong Utrecht face FC Eindhoven in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jong Utrecht a 42% chance, the draw 23% and FC Eindhoven 35%, so Jong Utrecht are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Jong Utrecht and 1.5 for FC Eindhoven (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jong Utrecht are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.94 for FC Eindhoven. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.2%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -5.1%

Draw 23.1%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -13.4%

Away 34.7%

Odds: 2.80 EV: -2.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.1% Odds: 1.48 -6.6%

Over 3.5 40.9% Odds: 2.20 -10.0%

BTTS 64.4% Odds: 1.40 -9.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Jong Utrecht

1.72

FC Eindhoven

1.54

Model SuggestionBTTS -9.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

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Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.94)