← Back to picks

Maitland vs Charlestown A. Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Australia - Northern NSW NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Northern NSW NPL Regular Season - 10 Saturday, May 2, 2026 04:00
Maitland logo Maitland PPG 1.00
2-3 MISS
Charlestown A. logo Charlestown A. PPG 1.00
BTTS· +2.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Maitland face Charlestown A. in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Maitland a 45% chance, the draw 24% and Charlestown A. 31%, so Maitland are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Maitland and 1.7 for Charlestown A. (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Maitland are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Charlestown A.. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +2.8%. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.2%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -5.1%
Draw 23.9%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -18.7%
Away 30.9%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -10.4%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 71.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 50.0% Odds: —
BTTS 71.4% Odds: 1.44 +2.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-2
4th 1-2
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Maitland
2.02
Charlestown A.
1.66

Model Suggestion

BTTS +2.8% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org